The illusion of validity

Confidence in a judgement that comes from how well the story hangs together, not from how often such judgements prove right.

L2Level 2 of 3 · no narrower concepts

What it rests on, and what rests on it

It rests on

Rests on it

Nothing rests on it yet.

Related

Beside it, inside Psychology

Where it is used

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Sources

  1. Daniel Kahneman, Thinking, Fast and Slow, ch. 20, The Illusion of Validity, 2011.