Monte Carlo simulation
Running a party's financial life a thousand times, each time with a different plausible sequence of returns, inflation and events, then reading the chances off the results instead of trusting one guessed future.
L2Level 2 of 3 · no narrower concepts
What it rests on, and what rests on it
It rests on
Rests on it
Where it is used
No article names it yet.
In the model
- The glossary's “Monte Carlo simulation”
- The glossary's “Monte Carlo standard error”
Sources
- Nicholas Metropolis and S. Ulam, Journal of the American Statistical Association 44(247), The Monte Carlo Method, 1949.