Monte Carlo simulation

Running a party's financial life a thousand times, each time with a different plausible sequence of returns, inflation and events, then reading the chances off the results instead of trusting one guessed future.

L2Level 2 of 3 · no narrower concepts

What it rests on, and what rests on it

It rests on

Rests on it

Where it is used

No article names it yet.

In the model

  • The glossary's “Monte Carlo simulation”
  • The glossary's “Monte Carlo standard error”

Sources

  1. Nicholas Metropolis and S. Ulam, Journal of the American Statistical Association 44(247), The Monte Carlo Method, 1949.